Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Austin N.
Assist: Culbert S.
90'
90'
Honeyman S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dumbarton lately — more wins on the board than East Fife.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
- Dumbarton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Dumbarton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
East Fife Clean Sheet 13%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | East Fife | Dumbarton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Fife vs Dumbarton
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 League Two
East Fife vs Dumbarton
3:2
Jan 6, 2024 League Two
Dumbarton vs East Fife
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 League Two
East Fife vs Dumbarton
0:1
Sep 2, 2023 League Two
Dumbarton vs East Fife
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
East Fife Compare
Top Goalscorer Austin N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Dumbarton Compare
Top Goalscorer Honeyman S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
East Fife 11 / 100
Dumbarton 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
East Fife Dumbarton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dumbarton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dumbarton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
East Fife's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
East Fife went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
East Fife VS Dumbarton
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
East Fife
(Home) 03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3 East Kilbride
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2 Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1 Motherwell B
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1 East Fife
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3 East Kilbride
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2 Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1 Motherwell B
05 Sept
East Fife
2 : 2 Ross County
Page 1 of 4
Dumbarton
(Away) 03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1 Dumbarton
29 Aug
Annan
2 : 0 Dumbarton
22 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 1 Dumbarton
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
