Sport Picks

Stadium Background

East Fife vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
O'Hara K.
Assist: MacDonald K.
34'
Sub
Munro A. In: McManus C.
Out: Munro A.
44'
Sub
Bah M. In: Halsey J.
Out: Bah M.

AI Match Summary

Hamilton in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
East Fife
40%
Draws
29%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • East Fife haven't matched Hamilton's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
East Fife Clean Sheet 18%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Fife Hamilton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 League One
East Fife vs Hamilton
0:3
Feb 17, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs East Fife
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 League One
East Fife vs Hamilton
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs East Fife
1:2
Jul 20, 2013 Club Friendly
East Fife vs Hamilton
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Fife Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Hara K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKinstry S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 32 / 100
Hamilton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Fife Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

East Fife went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

East Fife found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS Hamilton
1.17 Goals Scored 2
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

East Fife

(Home)
21 Jul
East Fife
3 : 1
Linlithgow Rose
14 Jul
East Fife
2 : 0
Morton
11 Jul
Inverness
2 : 1
East Fife
02 May
Cove Rangers
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Apr
East Fife
1 : 1
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Hamilton
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
11 Jul
Peterhead
0 : 1
Hamilton
04 Jul
Haverfordwest
0 : 4
Hamilton
30 Jun
Linlithgow Rose
2 : 2
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness362111460:2469
2Stenhousemuir361813550:2767
3Queen of the South3614121058:4754
4Alloa361581350:3853
5Peterhead361271748:6443
6Montrose361191648:6742
7Cove Rangers369111641:4438
8East Fife36991834:6136
9Hamilton361671354:4234
10Kelty Hearts366111933:6229
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2025/2026 (Main)