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East Fife vs Hamilton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Comrie A.
54'
Sub
Joseph O. In: Newton L.
Out: Joseph O.
61'
Sub
McKinstry S. In: Bradley S.
Out: McKinstry S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
East Fife
15%
Draws
67%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hamilton lately — more wins on the board than East Fife.
  • Win probability leans Hamilton's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
East Fife Clean Sheet 12%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Fife Hamilton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 20
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League One
East Fife vs Hamilton
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 League One
East Fife vs Hamilton
0:3
Feb 17, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs East Fife
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 League One
East Fife vs Hamilton
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs East Fife
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 10 / 100
Hamilton 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Fife Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Fife scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: East Fife stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS Hamilton
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

East Fife

(Home)
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2
Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
East Fife
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)