Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride

East Kilbride

5 - 3

Dumbarton

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

McIntosh L.

Assist: Kirkpatrick K.

30'

Elliott C.

Assist: Zaid M.

38'

Elliott C.

Assist: Calder O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-3, with East Kilbride advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

East Kilbride

Draws

Dumbarton

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and East Kilbride come out ahead of Dumbarton on wins alone.
East Kilbride are the model's pick here, at 90%.
East Kilbride have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor East Kilbride, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

East Kilbride Clean Sheet 20%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	East Kilbride	Dumbarton
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	17	5
Draws	3	7
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	2.63	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.63	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton

5:3

Apr 25, 2026 League Two

Dumbarton vs East Kilbride

0:1

Feb 21, 2026 League Two

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton

3:1

Dec 13, 2025 League Two

Dumbarton vs East Kilbride

2:0

Sep 20, 2025 League Two

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott C.

3 Goals

Assists Leader O'Connor D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer McIntosh L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Honeyman S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 85 / 100

Dumbarton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

East Kilbride Dumbarton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 5:4

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dumbarton conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Dumbarton's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Dumbarton

2.63 Goals Scored 0.75

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)

21 Jul

St. Mirren

4 : 3

East Kilbride

18 Jul

East Kilbride

5 : 3

Dumbarton

14 Jul

Cove Rangers

3 : 2

East Kilbride

11 Jul

East Kilbride

3 : 0

Dunfermline

07 Jul

East Kilbride

4 : 4

St. Mirren B

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Dumbarton

(Away)

18 Jul

East Kilbride

5 : 3

Dumbarton

14 Jul

Dunfermline

4 : 1

Dumbarton

11 Jul

Dumbarton

0 : 4

St. Mirren

30 Jun

Ayr

3 : 0

Dumbarton

20 Jun

Linlithgow Rose

4 : 3

Dumbarton

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