Sport Picks

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride

East Kilbride

5 - 3

Dumbarton

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

McIntosh L.

Assist: Kirkpatrick K.

30'

Elliott C.

Assist: Zaid M.

38'

Elliott C.

Assist: Calder O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-3. The second leg ended 5-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

East Kilbride

15%

Draws

46%

Dumbarton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and East Kilbride come out ahead of Dumbarton on wins alone.
46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
East Kilbride have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor East Kilbride, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

East Kilbride Clean Sheet 10%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	East Kilbride	Dumbarton
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	16	9
Draws	4	4
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	2.63	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.59	2.29
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton

5:3

Apr 25, 2026 League Two

Dumbarton vs East Kilbride

0:1

Feb 21, 2026 League Two

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton

3:1

Dec 13, 2025 League Two

Dumbarton vs East Kilbride

2:0

Sep 20, 2025 League Two

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott C.

3 Goals

Assists Leader O'Connor D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer McIntosh L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Honeyman S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 34 / 100

Dumbarton 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

East Kilbride Dumbarton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dumbarton Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dumbarton conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: East Kilbride stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Dumbarton

2.13 Goals Scored 1.88

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)

03 Oct

East Fife

0 : 3

East Kilbride

26 Sept

Stranraer

4 : 3

East Kilbride

22 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 3

Celtic B

19 Sept

Alloa

1 : 2

East Kilbride

12 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 1

Peterhead

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Dumbarton

(Away)

03 Oct

Dumbarton

2 : 1

Forfar Athletic

26 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 2

Banks O' Dee

22 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 2

Kilmarnock B

19 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 0

Spartans

12 Sept

Stranraer

3 : 1

Dumbarton

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