Sport Picks

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride

East Kilbride

3 - 0

Dunfermline

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Sub

Balde J. In: McGrattan L.

Out: Balde J.

24'

McGrattan L.

Assist: Zaid M.

36'

McGuffie C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

East Kilbride

20%

Draws

40%

Dunfermline

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and East Kilbride come out ahead of Dunfermline on wins alone.
East Kilbride are the model's pick here, at 40%.
East Kilbride have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor East Kilbride, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors East Kilbride here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

East Kilbride Clean Sheet 68%

Dunfermline Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	East Kilbride	Dunfermline
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	16	13
Draws	4	7
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	2.63	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.59	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline

3:0

Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline

1:0

Jul 27, 2019 League Cup

Dunfermline vs East Kilbride

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer McGrattan L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gray F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Dunfermline Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 50 / 100

Dunfermline 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

East Kilbride Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 5:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: East Kilbride stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dunfermline conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Dunfermline

1.75 Goals Scored 0.88

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 25%

63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)

03 Oct

East Fife

0 : 3

East Kilbride

26 Sept

Stranraer

4 : 3

East Kilbride

22 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 3

Celtic B

19 Sept

Alloa

1 : 2

East Kilbride

12 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 1

Peterhead

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Dunfermline

(Away)

03 Oct

Dunfermline

1 : 4

Aberdeen

19 Sept

Morton

0 : 1

Dunfermline

12 Sept

Dunfermline

2 : 0

Queen's Park

05 Sept

Arbroath

1 : 1

Dunfermline

28 Aug

Dunfermline

1 : 0

Raith

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