Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup K-Park Training Academy

Dunfermline

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

East Kilbride play Dunfermline in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Kilbride averaged 2.26 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Dunfermline averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, East Kilbride won 1, Dunfermline won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for East Kilbride and 0.63 for Dunfermline. This points to a East Kilbride double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

East Kilbride

18%

Draws

37%

Dunfermline

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

East Kilbride picked up more points recently compared to Dunfermline.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

East Kilbride Clean Sheet 29%

Dunfermline Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	East Kilbride	Dunfermline
Matches Played	27	33
Wins	16	16
Draws	4	7
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	2.26	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.06
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Jul 27, 2019 League Cup

Dunfermline vs East Kilbride

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 46 / 100

Dunfermline 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

East Kilbride Dunfermline

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: East Kilbride or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Kilbride attacking → ← attacking Dunfermline

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Dunfermline let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dunfermline lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 55

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00