Sport Picks

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East Kilbride vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

League One K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ryan A.
Assist: Hendrie S.
54'
McKinstry S.
60'
Sub
McGuffie C. In: McKenzie C.
Out: McGuffie C.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between East Kilbride and Hamilton finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
East Kilbride
15%
Draws
45%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamilton haven't matched East Kilbride's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hamilton's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hamilton here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 14%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Hamilton
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 17 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.59 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
2:4
Oct 14, 2023 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
2:5
Nov 26, 2022 Scottish Cup
Hamilton vs East Kilbride
4:0
Jul 15, 2017 League Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 11 / 100
Hamilton 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hamilton has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Hamilton
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1
Hamilton
29 Aug
Ross County
4 : 0
East Kilbride
25 Aug
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1
Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cove Rangers
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1
Edinburgh City
22 Aug
East Fife
0 : 0
Hamilton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 6 5 1 0 20:4 16
2 Hamilton 6 5 1 0 12:0 16
3 Montrose 7 4 0 3 11:12 12
4 East Kilbride 7 3 1 3 12:11 10
5 Alloa 7 2 3 2 7:4 9
6 East Fife 7 1 5 1 6:5 8
7 Peterhead 7 2 1 4 5:12 7
8 Airdrieonians 7 1 3 3 4:10 6
9 Cove Rangers 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
10 Queen of the South 7 1 1 5 5:20 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)