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East Kilbride vs Hamilton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
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Match Events

30' Event
Ryan A.
Assist: Hendrie S.
54'
McKinstry S.
60'
Sub
McGuffie C. In: McKenzie C.
Out: McGuffie C.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between East Kilbride and Hamilton finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
East Kilbride
35%
Draws
38%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • East Kilbride haven't matched Hamilton's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans East Kilbride's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hamilton here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 68%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Hamilton
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 2.74 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.74 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
2:4
Oct 14, 2023 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
2:5
Nov 26, 2022 Scottish Cup
Hamilton vs East Kilbride
4:0
Jul 15, 2017 League Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 50 / 100
Hamilton 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hamilton has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Hamilton
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
03 Nov
East Kilbride
7 : 3
Stirling
31 Oct
East Kilbride
1 : 2
Ross County
17 Oct
East Kilbride
1 : 1
Montrose
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
10 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 2
Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
03 Nov
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
31 Oct
Hamilton
1 : 1
Montrose
27 Oct
Ross County
1 : 1
Hamilton
24 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
East Fife
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 13 11 2 0 45:8 35
2 Hamilton 13 10 3 0 27:6 33
3 Montrose 13 6 2 5 18:21 20
4 East Kilbride 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
5 Peterhead 13 4 1 8 11:21 13
6 Airdrieonians 13 3 4 6 10:20 13
7 Queen of the South 13 4 1 8 13:36 13
8 Alloa 13 3 3 7 13:16 12
9 East Fife 13 2 6 5 11:16 12
10 Cove Rangers 12 2 3 7 10:18 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)