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East Kilbride vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup K-Park Training Academy
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Breen R.
40' Event
Shaw O.
Assist: McKinstry S.
45' Event
O'Hara K.
Assist: Robinson S.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge Cup game between East Kilbride and Hamilton finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
East Kilbride
40%
Draws
29%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • East Kilbride carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cup games in Challenge Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hamilton here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 20%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Hamilton
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
2:4
Oct 14, 2023 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
2:5
Nov 26, 2022 Scottish Cup
Hamilton vs East Kilbride
4:0
Jul 15, 2017 League Cup
East Kilbride vs Hamilton
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Hara K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shaw O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 32 / 100
Hamilton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Hamilton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Recent resilience: East Kilbride stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Hamilton
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210