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East Kilbride vs Queen of the South

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup K-Park Training Academy
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Guthrie K.
Assist: Stott J.
19' Event
Dobbie L.
Assist: Foster K.
57' Event
Dobbie L.
Assist: Balde J.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge Cup game between East Kilbride and Queen of the South finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward East Kilbride.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
East Kilbride
6%
Draws
4%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and East Kilbride come out ahead of Queen of the South on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans East Kilbride's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cup games in Challenge Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 20%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Queen of the South
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
3:1
Jul 23, 2024 League Cup
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
1:3
Jun 24, 2023 Club Friendly
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
1:1
Jul 18, 2017 League Cup
Queen of the South vs East Kilbride
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobbie L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leitch J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Guthrie K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 85 / 100
Queen of the South 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Queen of the South

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: East Kilbride scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Queen of the South's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Queen of the South
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210