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East Kilbride vs Vale Of Leithen

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Kilbride play Vale Of Leithen in the Lowland League 2021/2022. East Kilbride are favorites here. Recently, East Kilbride averaged 2.65 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Vale Of Leithen averaged 0.3 goals scored and 4.83 conceded. In past meetings, East Kilbride won 1, Vale Of Leithen won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jan 29, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.56 for East Kilbride and 1.06 for Vale Of Leithen. This points to a East Kilbride double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
East Kilbride
32%
Draws
8%
Vale Of Leithen
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • East Kilbride picked up more points recently compared to Vale Of Leithen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.56 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 22%
Vale Of Leithen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Vale Of Leithen
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 27
Goals Scored 2.65 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.35 4.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2022 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Vale Of Leithen
0:0
Aug 18, 2021 Lowland League
Vale Of Leithen vs East Kilbride
1:7
Mar 13, 2021 Lowland League
Vale Of Leithen vs East Kilbride
0:0
Jan 9, 2021 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Vale Of Leithen
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Vale Of Leithen
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 58 / 100
Vale Of Leithen 9 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Vale Of Leithen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (1)
Secondary Pick East Kilbride & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Kilbride attacking → ← attacking Vale Of Leithen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Vale Of Leithen let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vale Of Leithen lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 5
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bonnyrigg Rose34283392:2887
2Rangers B342419105:4273
3Celtic B34234782:3073
4East Kilbride34225792:4071
5Spartans34206869:4566
6East Stirlingshire341511861:3656
7Civil Service Strollers341751266:5356
8Berwick341731475:4654
9Caledonian Braves341581169:4853
10Stirling University341361566:6845
11Boness United341361554:6045
12Dalbeattie Star341411953:6543
13Gala Fairydean Rovers341141954:6637
14Cumbernauld Colts341051953:7335
15Broomhill341042042:6634
16Edinburgh University34871954:9231
17Gretna 200834252736:10911
18Vale Of Leithen34123110:1665