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East Stirlingshire vs Berwick

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2025/2026 game between East Stirlingshire and Berwick finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berwick.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
East Stirlingshire
15%
Draws
49%
Berwick
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Berwick come out ahead of East Stirlingshire on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on East Stirlingshire taking it.
  • Regular Lowland League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
East Stirlingshire Clean Sheet 12%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Stirlingshire Berwick
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.55 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Berwick
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 Lowland League
Berwick vs East Stirlingshire
2:2
Feb 1, 2025 Lowland League
Berwick vs East Stirlingshire
0:4
Sep 7, 2024 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Berwick
2:3
Feb 17, 2024 Lowland League
Berwick vs East Stirlingshire
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Stirlingshire 47 / 100
Berwick 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Stirlingshire Berwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Stirlingshire Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Berwick conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

East Stirlingshire's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Berwick has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

East Stirlingshire VS Berwick
0.86 Goals Scored 1.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

East Stirlingshire

(Home)
26 Sept
East Stirlingshire
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
12 Sept
East Stirlingshire
2 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
29 Aug
Dunipace
0 : 3
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6

Berwick

(Away)
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1
Berwick
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linlithgow Rose 34 24 3 7 89:39 75
2 Clydebank FC 34 23 4 7 94:39 73
3 Bonnyrigg Rose 34 21 6 7 79:42 69
4 Tranent FC 34 20 7 7 63:32 67
5 Caledonian Braves 34 18 5 11 75:48 59
6 Cumbernauld Colts 34 17 5 12 72:53 56
7 Broxburn Athletic 34 15 7 12 68:61 52
8 Berwick 34 14 7 13 62:68 49
9 Boness United 34 14 6 14 61:56 48
10 Celtic B 34 12 10 12 73:71 46
11 Cowdenbeath 34 12 9 13 51:53 45
12 Gala Fairydean Rovers 34 13 2 19 52:66 41
13 Albion Rovers 34 12 3 19 48:71 39
14 Civil Service Strollers 34 11 5 18 40:79 38
15 Stirling University 34 9 7 18 55:82 34
16 Hearts B 34 7 8 19 42:78 29
17 Gretna 2008 34 7 7 20 50:90 28
18 East Stirlingshire 34 5 3 26 48:94 18
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)