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East Stirlingshire vs Brechin

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Lamont B.
36' Event
Martin L.
Assist: Blair R.
65' Event
Hilson D.
Assist: Taylor M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
East Stirlingshire
15%
Draws
68%
Brechin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brechin lately — more wins on the board than East Stirlingshire.
  • Brechin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
East Stirlingshire Clean Sheet 10%
Brechin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Stirlingshire Brechin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Brechin
3:3
Apr 6, 2002 League Two
East Stirlingshire vs Brechin
2:0
Feb 2, 2002 League Two
Brechin vs East Stirlingshire
2:0
Dec 14, 2001 League Two
East Stirlingshire vs Brechin
3:4
Sep 29, 2001 League Two
Brechin vs East Stirlingshire
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Stirlingshire Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamont B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coutts Tony
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Brechin Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hilson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Stirlingshire 10 / 100
Brechin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Stirlingshire Brechin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

East Stirlingshire's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brechin has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

East Stirlingshire went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Stirlingshire VS Brechin
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

East Stirlingshire

(Home)
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
12 Sept
East Stirlingshire
2 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
29 Aug
Dunipace
0 : 3
East Stirlingshire
22 Aug
East Stirlingshire
0 : 3
Tranent FC
Page 1 of 6

Brechin

(Away)
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
29 Aug
Brechin
3 : 1
Musselburgh
22 Aug
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Brechin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 8 8 0 0 17:4 24
2 Hill Of Beath 9 7 0 2 14:10 21
3 Linlithgow Rose 9 6 1 2 25:11 19
4 Brechin 8 6 1 1 17:10 19
5 Broxburn Athletic 8 6 1 1 13:7 19
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
8 Civil Service Strollers 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
9 Boness United 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
10 East Stirlingshire 9 3 1 5 13:19 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 8 1 1 6 6:17 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 9 1 0 8 9:24 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 10 8 0 2 31:13 24
2 Largs Thistle 10 7 1 2 14:9 22
3 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
4 Pollok 9 6 2 1 21:12 20
5 Auchinleck Talbot 10 6 1 3 31:12 19
6 Cumnock Juniors 9 5 2 2 25:14 17
7 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
8 Caledonian Braves 9 5 1 3 26:21 16
9 Johnstone Burgh 9 4 3 2 19:14 15
10 Troon FC 10 4 0 6 18:19 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Albion Rovers 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Beith 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
14 Renfrew 9 2 1 6 16:26 7
15 Gretna 2008 10 2 1 7 20:32 7
16 Newton Stewart 8 1 1 6 9:32 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 9 0 1 8 5:30 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)