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East Thurrock Utd vs Maidstone

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Thurrock Utd play Maidstone in the Club Friendly 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Thurrock Utd averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Maidstone averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, East Thurrock Utd won 1, Maidstone won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 5, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for East Thurrock Utd and 1.55 for Maidstone. This points to a Maidstone double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
East Thurrock Utd
23%
Draws
51%
Maidstone
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Maidstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • East Thurrock Utd picked up more points recently compared to Maidstone.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
East Thurrock Utd Clean Sheet 15%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Thurrock Utd Maidstone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2021 Club Friendly
East Thurrock Utd vs Maidstone
1:3
Apr 25, 2015 Isthmian League Premier Division
Maidstone vs East Thurrock Utd
3:2
Jan 6, 2015 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Maidstone
1:1
Mar 29, 2014 Isthmian League Premier Division
Maidstone vs East Thurrock Utd
1:1
Mar 18, 2014 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Maidstone
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Thurrock Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavey A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luque J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Thurrock Utd 26 / 100
Maidstone 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Thurrock Utd Maidstone

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maidstone or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Thurrock Utd attacking → ← attacking Maidstone

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Thurrock Utd scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Maidstone let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

East Thurrock Utd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Maidstone lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 51
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13