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Eastern AA vs Pegasus

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2020/2021
Eastern AA Logo

Eastern AA

4 - 0
FT
Pegasus Logo

Pegasus

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Fung Hing-Wa
23' Event
Sandro
31' Event
Afonso C. M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Eastern AA and Pegasus finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern AA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Eastern AA
15%
Draws
59%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern AA's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Pegasus have produced (1.35).
  • Model gives Eastern AA a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 13%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA Pegasus
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
4:0
Apr 24, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Eastern AA
0:1
Mar 15, 2021 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
0:0
Apr 18, 2020 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 FA Cup
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Lum J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sandro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pegasus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 35 / 100
Pegasus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern AA's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pegasus let in goals in 70% of their last 23 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Eastern AA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 7

Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 17 11 4 2 32:12 37
2 Eastern AA 17 10 4 3 38:16 34
3 Lee Man Warriors 17 9 3 5 34:21 30
4 Pegasus 17 9 1 7 23:27 28
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)