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Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2023/2024 Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong
Eastern AA Logo

Eastern AA

Sat, Jun 1, 2024
3 - 2
07:30 AM
Sham Shui Po Logo

Sham Shui Po

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Ma H. W.
38'
Wong C. T.
46'
Sub
Chang Kwong-Yin In: Dunga I.
Out: Chang Kwong-Yin
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eastern AA in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Eastern AA
20%
Draws
36%
Sham Shui Po
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern AA have won more games recently than Sham Shui Po.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Eastern AA taking it.
  • Eastern AA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Eastern AA here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 68%
Sham Shui Po Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA Sham Shui Po
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.08 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 FA Cup
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
3:2
Apr 28, 2024 Premier League
Sham Shui Po vs Eastern AA
0:3
Mar 23, 2024 Sapling Cup
Sham Shui Po vs Eastern AA
0:5
Jan 6, 2024 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
3:0
Oct 7, 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Baffoe N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kozubayev T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Sham Shui Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Benavides N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunga I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 86 / 100
Sham Shui Po 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA Sham Shui Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern AA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern AA's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Sham Shui Po let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Eastern AA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
Page 1 of 8

Sham Shui Po

(Away)
01 Jun
Eastern AA
3 : 2
Sham Shui Po
26 May
Hong Kong FC
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
19 May
Sham Shui Po
1 : 6
Lee Man Warriors
11 May
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 2
Sham Shui Po
05 May
Resources Capital
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitchee -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong FC -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
Tai Po 0
Resources Capital 1
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
North District 1
Lee Man Warriors 4
Southern District -
TBD -
Sham Shui Po 1
HK U23 0
Quarter-finals
Kitchee 2
Hong Kong FC 0
Eastern AA 1
Resources Capital 0
Hong Kong Rangers 3
Lee Man Warriors 4
Southern District 1
Sham Shui Po 2
Semi-finals
Kitchee 1
Eastern AA 2
Lee Man Warriors 1
Sham Shui Po 2
Final
Eastern AA 3
Sham Shui Po 2