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Eastern AA vs Southern District

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Wong Fred Yang
29' Event
Pereira S.
48'
Murilo.

AI Match Summary

Eastern AA in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastern AA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Eastern AA
20%
Draws
57%
Southern District
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southern District

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern AA have won more games recently than Southern District.
  • Model gives Southern District a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%
Southern District Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA Southern District
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Southern District
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Southern District vs Eastern AA
1:1
Apr 9, 2025 Sapling Cup
Southern District vs Eastern AA
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Southern District
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Southern District
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Gondra M. K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lam H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Southern District Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 14 / 100
Southern District 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA Southern District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southern District Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern AA scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Southern District's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Eastern AA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS Southern District
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 7

Southern District

(Away)
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
29 Aug
Southern District
2 : 1
Kowloon City
22 Aug
Southern District
3 : 2
Hong Kong FC
09 May
Southern District
2 : 2
Eastern District
03 May
Hong Kong FC
1 : 4
Southern District
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 18 16 2 0 47:15 50
2 Lee Man Warriors 18 10 6 2 47:19 36
3 North District 18 8 7 3 36:27 31
4 Tai Po 18 9 4 5 36:26 31
5 Eastern AA 18 7 4 7 29:28 25
6 Kowloon City 18 6 3 9 22:33 21
7 Eastern District 18 5 4 9 15:15 19
8 Southern District 18 5 3 10 18:28 18
9 Hong Kong Rangers 18 5 2 11 20:38 17
10 Hong Kong FC 18 1 1 16 12:53 4
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)