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Eastern District vs Lee Man Warriors

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 Siu Sai Wan Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Poon Pui-Hin
47'
Helio
55'
Sub
Poon Pui-Hin In: Wu C. R.
Out: Poon Pui-Hin

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Eastern District
15%
Draws
71%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lee Man Warriors lately — more wins on the board than Eastern District.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Lee Man Warriors taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Lee Man Warriors have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Eastern District Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern District Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.24 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern District
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
Eastern District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern District
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern District 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern District Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eastern District scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Lee Man Warriors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Eastern District went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern District VS Lee Man Warriors
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern District

(Home)
20 Sept
Southern District
2 : 1
Eastern District
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
30 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Eastern District
30 May
Tai Po
2 : 1
Eastern District
Page 1 of 6

Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 18 16 2 0 47:15 50
2 Lee Man Warriors 18 10 6 2 47:19 36
3 North District 18 8 7 3 36:27 31
4 Tai Po 18 9 4 5 36:26 31
5 Eastern AA 18 7 4 7 29:28 25
6 Kowloon City 18 6 3 9 22:33 21
7 Eastern District 18 5 4 9 15:15 19
8 Southern District 18 5 3 10 18:28 18
9 Hong Kong Rangers 18 5 2 11 20:38 17
10 Hong Kong FC 18 1 1 16 12:53 4
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)