Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eastern District vs North District

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2025/2026 Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong
Sun, May 24, 2026
3 - 2
07:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Helio
32' Event
Leo
39'
Bruno Luiz

AI Match Summary

Eastern District in this FA Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Eastern District
15%
Draws
53%
North District
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North District

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • North District have won more games recently than Eastern District.
  • Model gives North District a 53% chance of winning this.
  • North District arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor North District, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eastern District Clean Sheet 11%
North District Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern District North District
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.21 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 FA Cup
Eastern District vs North District
3:2
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
North District vs Eastern District
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Eastern District vs North District
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern District Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Luiz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

North District Compare

Top Goalscorer Weverton Gudula
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern District 10 / 100
North District 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern District North District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North District Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: North District conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Eastern District scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Eastern District has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eastern District VS North District
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern District

(Home)
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
30 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Eastern District
30 May
Tai Po
2 : 1
Eastern District
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2
North District
Page 1 of 6

North District

(Away)
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2
North District
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Kitchee -
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
Lee Man Warriors 3
Kowloon City 0
Eastern AA -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastern District -
Hong Kong FC -
TBD -
Southern District 1
North District 3
Quarter-finals
Tai Po 2
Kitchee 1
Hong Kong Rangers 4
Lee Man Warriors 3
Eastern AA 0
Eastern District 1
Hong Kong FC 1
North District 3
Semi-finals
Tai Po 2
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Eastern District 3
North District 2
Final
Tai Po 2
Eastern District 1