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Stadium Background

Eastern Suburbs U23 vs Queensland Lions U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland U23 game between Eastern Suburbs U23 and Queensland Lions U23 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queensland Lions U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Eastern Suburbs U23
30%
Draws
34%
Queensland Lions U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eastern Suburbs U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queensland Lions U23 come out ahead of Eastern Suburbs U23 on wins alone.
  • Eastern Suburbs U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Eastern Suburbs U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs U23 Queensland Lions U23
Matches Played 19 19
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 2.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Eastern Suburbs U23
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Eastern Suburbs U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs U23 34 / 100
Queensland Lions U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs U23 Queensland Lions U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs U23's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Queensland Lions U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Eastern Suburbs U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs U23 VS Queensland Lions U23
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs U23
0 : 1
Magic United TFA FC U23
12 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
04 Jul
Eastern Suburbs U23
1 : 1
Peninsula U23
27 Jun
Eastern Suburbs U23
3 : 0
Olympic FC U23
25 Jun
QLD State Team U17
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
Page 1 of 4

Queensland Lions U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
12 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
04 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 2
Olympic FC U23
28 Jun
Queensland Lions U23
4 : 0
Wynnum Wolves U23
21 Jun
Queensland Lions U23
4 : 1
Rochedale U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rochedale U2319132451:2441
2Moreton City Excelsior U2319122552:2438
3Queensland Lions U2319115345:2038
4Gold Coast Knights SC U2318121547:2937
5Eastern Suburbs U231993738:2430
6Gold Coast U231892742:4029
7Olympic FC U2319721032:4223
8QLD State Team U1719711138:4822
9Peninsula U2319621134:4620
10Wynnum Wolves U2319621127:4320
11Brisbane City U2319531135:5218
12Magic United TFA FC U2319311514:6310
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)