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Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City Prediction & H2H Stats
New Zealand
National League 2024 
Match Events
73'
73'
Bevan M.
79'
79'
Ilich M.
90'
90'
Kilkolly A.
AI Match Summary
Auckland City in this National League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Eastern Suburbs haven't matched Auckland City's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
- Regular National League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Auckland City have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 15%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Auckland City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 43 |
| Wins | 12 | 29 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 27, 2024 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
0:3
Oct 22, 2023 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
1:2
Sep 11, 2022 Chatham Cup
Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0
Mar 14, 2021 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs
2:1
Jan 24, 2021 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Auckland City Compare
Top Goalscorer Bevan M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ilich M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs 27 / 100
Auckland City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs Auckland City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Auckland City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eastern Suburbs scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Auckland City has conceded goals in 67% of their last 43 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Eastern Suburbs remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs VS Auckland City
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs
(Home) 26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
10 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 2 Birkenhead
27 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 3 Auckland City
20 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 1 Western Springs
Page 1 of 3
Auckland City
(Away) 22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0 Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1 Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3 Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1 Auckland City
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2 Auckland City
Page 1 of 9
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1 Auckland City
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2 Auckland City
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3 Auckland City
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birkenhead | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:16 | 20 |
| 2 | Auckland City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Western Springs | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 25:16 | 18 |
| 4 | Napier City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Wellington Olympic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 11 |
| 7 | Coastal Spirit | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 8 | Cashmere Technical | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 9 |
| 9 | Eastern Suburbs | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | 5 |
| 10 | Western Suburbs | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:28 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)
