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Stadium Background

Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Utd

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Heath Park
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Doolan B.
25' Event
Ridenton M.
45' Event
Lucas C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Eastern Suburbs and Gold Coast Utd finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Suburbs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Eastern Suburbs
20%
Draws
38%
Gold Coast Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eastern Suburbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern Suburbs come out ahead of Gold Coast Utd on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Eastern Suburbs taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 20%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Gold Coast Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Utd
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Utd
5:1
May 4, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Eastern Suburbs
1:4
Jun 17, 2023 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Utd
0:3
Mar 11, 2023 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Eastern Suburbs
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Doolan B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ridenton M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Gold Coast Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 42 / 100
Gold Coast Utd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Gold Coast Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eastern Suburbs scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Gold Coast Utd let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Gold Coast Utd's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS Gold Coast Utd
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Peninsula18133243:2042
2Queensland Lions18132349:2041
3Moreton City Excelsior18112547:2835
4Gold Coast Knights SC17103440:2533
5Eastern Suburbs1891832:2728
6Brisbane City1876538:3927
7Wynnum Wolves1875629:3426
8Olympic FC18621031:3820
9Rochedale18431127:4515
10Gold Coast Utd17411222:3513
11Brisbane Roar U2318411326:4313
12Magic United TFA FC18411324:5413