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Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2022
Eastern Suburbs Logo

Eastern Suburbs

1 - 0
FT
Hamilton Logo

Hamilton

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eastern Suburbs in this Chatham Cup 2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Eastern Suburbs
15%
Draws
51%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eastern Suburbs lately — more wins on the board than Hamilton.
  • Model gives Eastern Suburbs a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Eastern Suburbs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern Suburbs, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 20%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Hamilton
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2022 Chatham Cup
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
1:1
Dec 20, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Eastern Suburbs
1:2
Jan 26, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
3:0
Nov 10, 2019 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Eastern Suburbs
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 67 / 100
Hamilton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Eastern Suburbs scored in 79% of their last 39 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Eastern Suburbs remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs

(Home)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 8

Hamilton

(Away)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Dunedin City Royals 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Bay Olympic 1
Auckland City 2
Napier City 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Cashmere Technical 9
Green Island AFC 0
Melville 1
Waiheke United 2
Birkenhead 0
Eastern Suburbs 2
Miramar 5
Western Suburbs 1
Auckland United 0
Hamilton 1
Quarter-finals
Dunedin City Royals 0
Auckland City 6
Wellington Olympic 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Waiheke United 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Miramar 3
Hamilton 4
Semi-finals
Auckland City 3
Wellington Olympic 1
Eastern Suburbs 1
Hamilton 0
Final
Auckland City 1
Eastern Suburbs 0