Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Eastern Suburbs in this Chatham Cup 2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Eastern Suburbs lately — more wins on the board than Hamilton.
- Model gives Eastern Suburbs a 37% chance of winning this.
- Eastern Suburbs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Eastern Suburbs, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 20%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Hamilton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.17 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2022 Chatham Cup
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
1:1
Dec 20, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Eastern Suburbs
1:2
Jan 26, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
3:0
Nov 10, 2019 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Eastern Suburbs
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs 76 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs Hamilton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
Eastern Suburbs scored in 79% of their last 42 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Eastern Suburbs remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs
(Home) 26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 9
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
10 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 2 Birkenhead
27 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 3 Auckland City
20 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 1 Western Springs
Page 1 of 4
Hamilton
(Away) 29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3 Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2 Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0 Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4 Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1 Hamilton
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20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0 Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4 Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1 Hamilton
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1 Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2 Hamilton
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Dunedin City Royals 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Bay Olympic 1
Auckland City 2
Napier City 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Cashmere Technical 9
Green Island AFC 0
Melville 1
Waiheke United 2
Birkenhead 0
Eastern Suburbs 2
Miramar 5
Western Suburbs 1
Auckland United 0
Hamilton 1
Quarter-finals
Dunedin City Royals 0
Auckland City 6
Wellington Olympic 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Waiheke United 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Miramar 3
Hamilton 4
Semi-finals
Auckland City 3
Wellington Olympic 1
Eastern Suburbs 1
Hamilton 0
Final
Auckland City 1
Eastern Suburbs 0
