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Eastern Suburbs vs Manurewa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Sinclair K.
80' Event
De Vries F.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Toomey L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League 2023 game between Eastern Suburbs and Manurewa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Suburbs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Eastern Suburbs
20%
Draws
40%
Manurewa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Eastern Suburbs are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 16%
Manurewa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Manurewa
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2023 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Manurewa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Manurewa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 75 / 100
Manurewa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Manurewa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manurewa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 13 matches.

Attacking prowess: Eastern Suburbs scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Eastern Suburbs remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS Manurewa
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs

(Home)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

Manurewa

(Away)
27 Jul
Wellington Olympic
4 : 0
Manurewa
06 Jul
Manurewa
3 : 2
Onehunga Mangere
01 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 0
Manurewa
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2
Manurewa
12 Nov
Manurewa
0 : 0
Auckland United
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 9 7 2 0 34:15 23
2 Auckland City 9 7 0 2 19:12 21
3 Christchurch 9 5 1 3 18:16 16
4 Eastern Suburbs 9 4 3 2 23:11 15
5 Manurewa 9 4 1 4 16:20 13
6 Cashmere Technical 9 4 1 4 24:24 13
7 Auckland United 9 2 4 3 15:17 10
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 9 3 0 6 19:24 9
9 Napier City 9 2 1 6 13:26 7
10 Petone 9 0 1 8 6:22 1
Promotion - National League 2023 (Grand Final)