Sport Picks
Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior
Australia
NPL Queensland Heath Park, Brisbane 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moreton City Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Moreton City Excelsior have won more games recently than Eastern Suburbs.
- Moreton City Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Moreton City Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Moreton City Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 35 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 2.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 5, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior
0:0
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs
4:1
Jul 20, 2025 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs
2:0
Jun 11, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs 18 / 100
Moreton City Excelsior 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs Moreton City Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moreton City Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eastern Suburbs scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Moreton City Excelsior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Moreton City Excelsior registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs VS Moreton City Excelsior
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs
(Home) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
04 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 3 Peninsula
27 Jun
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Olympic FC
20 Jun
Eastern Suburbs
3 : 1 Brisbane City
Page 1 of 3
Moreton City Excelsior
(Away) 05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
