Sport Picks
Eastern Suburbs vs Peninsula
Australia
NPL Queensland Heath Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
10'
10'
Woolley J.
18'
18'
Kusunoki D.
68'
68'
Joseph N.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Peninsula in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peninsula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peninsula
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Peninsula have won more games recently than Eastern Suburbs.
- Peninsula are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Peninsula here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Peninsula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Peninsula
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Peninsula
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Eastern Suburbs
1:1
Aug 13, 2023 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Eastern Suburbs
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Top Goalscorer Kusunoki D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Peninsula Compare
Top Goalscorer Woolley J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs 26 / 100
Peninsula 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs Peninsula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Peninsula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Eastern Suburbs found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Peninsula let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Eastern Suburbs has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs VS Peninsula
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs
(Home) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
04 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 3 Peninsula
27 Jun
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Olympic FC
20 Jun
Eastern Suburbs
3 : 1 Brisbane City
Page 1 of 3
Peninsula
(Away) 12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
01 Aug
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
