Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eastern Suburbs vs Peninsula

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Heath Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Woolley J.
18' Event
Kusunoki D.
68' Event
Joseph N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Peninsula in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peninsula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Eastern Suburbs
6%
Draws
90%
Peninsula
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Peninsula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Peninsula have won more games recently than Eastern Suburbs.
  • Peninsula are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Peninsula here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Peninsula
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 16 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.63 3
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Peninsula
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Peninsula
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Eastern Suburbs
1:1
Aug 13, 2023 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Eastern Suburbs
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusunoki D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Peninsula Compare

Top Goalscorer Woolley J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
Peninsula 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Peninsula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Peninsula let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Peninsula registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS Peninsula
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs

(Home)
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4
Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
04 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 3
Peninsula
27 Jun
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Olympic FC
23 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC
4 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 7

Peninsula

(Away)
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2
Peninsula
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Peninsula
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0
Wynnum Wolves
04 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 3
Peninsula
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC18103541:2733
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC19721034:3923
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd18411322:3613
12Brisbane Roar U2319411427:4613
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)