Sport Picks
Eastern Suburbs vs Southern United
New Zealand
Football Championship 2018/2019 
Match Events
60'
60'
McCowatt C.
(Penalty)
65'
65'
McCowatt C.
70'
70'
De Jong A.
AI Match Summary
Eastern Suburbs in this Football Championship 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastern Suburbs.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Eastern Suburbs have won more games recently than Southern United.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Eastern Suburbs have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 20%
Southern United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Southern United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 54 | 28 |
| Wins | 22 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.85 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.17 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Southern United
6:0
Nov 16, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Eastern Suburbs
2:4
Mar 16, 2019 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Southern United
3:0
Jan 6, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Eastern Suburbs
1:6
Jan 6, 2018 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Southern United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Top Goalscorer McCowatt C.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Jong A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08
Southern United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs 32 / 100
Southern United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs Southern United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southern United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Eastern Suburbs found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (54 games).
Eastern Suburbs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs
(Home) 03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4 Auckland City
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 11
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4 Auckland City
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
10 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 2 Birkenhead
27 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 3 Auckland City
Page 1 of 5
Southern United
(Away) 14 Mar
Southern United
0 : 1 Team Wellington
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4 Southern United
15 Feb
Southern United
2 : 1 Waitakere United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1 Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0 Southern United
Page 1 of 6
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4 Southern United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1 Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0 Southern United
18 Jan
Tasman United
5 : 0 Southern United
11 Jan
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1 Southern United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 46:18 | 52 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 53:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Canterbury | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 4 | Team Wellington | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:25 | 34 |
| 5 | Southern United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:30 | 23 |
| 6 | Hamilton | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 34:44 | 17 |
| 7 | Hawke s Bay | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 38:55 | 17 |
| 8 | Tasman United | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22:36 | 14 |
| 9 | Waitakere United | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 29:46 | 13 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 22:46 | 11 |
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
