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Eastern Suburbs W vs Waterside Karori W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Benson Z.
86' Event
Benson Z.
88' Event
Lyon E.

AI Match Summary

Eastern Suburbs W in this National League Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastern Suburbs W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Eastern Suburbs W
6%
Draws
4%
Waterside Karori W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs W have won more games recently than Waterside Karori W.
  • Eastern Suburbs W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 68%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs W Waterside Karori W
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 3.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Waterside Karori W
0:1
Oct 15, 2023 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Waterside Karori W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs W Compare

Top Goalscorer Benson Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lyon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Waterside Karori W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs W 95 / 100
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs W Waterside Karori W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterside Karori W let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Eastern Suburbs W found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Eastern Suburbs W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs W VS Waterside Karori W
3.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 80%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971125:922
2Southern United W971122:622
3Eastern Suburbs W970222:1221
4Western Springs W961228:1119
5Wellington United W941418:1613
6Waterside Karori W941418:1613
7Canterbury United W921617:227
8Wellington Phoenix 2 W921612:267
9Central Football W91176:304
10Ellerslie W91083:233