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Eastern Suburbs W vs Waterside Karori W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Bacon R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Eastern Suburbs W and Waterside Karori W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waterside Karori W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Eastern Suburbs W
6%
Draws
4%
Waterside Karori W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Eastern Suburbs W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 20%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs W Waterside Karori W
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 3.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Waterside Karori W
0:1
Oct 15, 2023 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Waterside Karori W
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs W 85 / 100
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs W Waterside Karori W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterside Karori W has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Attacking prowess: Eastern Suburbs W scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Eastern Suburbs W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs W VS Waterside Karori W
3.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 80%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500