Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eastleigh vs Aldershot

England England

National League Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Eweka T.
69'
Sub
Hawkins O. In: Duku I.
Out: Hawkins O.
69'
Sub
Akoto N. In: Rankine D.
Out: Akoto N.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Eastleigh and Aldershot finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Eastleigh
20%
Draws
51%
Aldershot
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aldershot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aldershot come out ahead of Eastleigh on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 18%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastleigh Aldershot
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Aldershot
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Aldershot
1:4
Dec 13, 2025 FA Trophy
Eastleigh vs Aldershot
2:1
Aug 20, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Eastleigh
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Aldershot
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Blair A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrahams T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastleigh 31 / 100
Aldershot 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastleigh Aldershot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastleigh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Eastleigh found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Aldershot let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Eastleigh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastleigh VS Aldershot
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastleigh

(Home)
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1
Eastleigh
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Boreham Wood
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6

Aldershot

(Away)
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
4 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
15 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
21 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)