Sport Picks
Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh 
Match Events
15'
15'
Horton B.
18'
18'
Sub
Howe C. In: Ogle R.
Out: Howe C.
37'
37'
Sidwell H.
Assist: Cousins J.
AI Match Summary
Eastleigh in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastleigh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scunthorpe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Scunthorpe have won more games recently than Eastleigh.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Eastleigh here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 15%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastleigh | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Eastleigh
0:1
Oct 21, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 National League
Scunthorpe vs Eastleigh
0:1
Nov 1, 2022 National League
Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastleigh Compare
Top Goalscorer Sidwell H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Blair A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Scunthorpe Compare
Top Goalscorer Beestin A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gale J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastleigh 31 / 100
Scunthorpe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastleigh Scunthorpe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Eastleigh scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Scunthorpe conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Difficult form: Scunthorpe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eastleigh VS Scunthorpe
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastleigh
(Home) 03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3 Woking
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3 Woking
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
12 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Boreham Wood
31 Aug
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Aldershot
Page 1 of 4
Scunthorpe
(Away) 29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1 Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
22 Aug
Eastleigh
3 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
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