Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eastleigh vs Southampton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Eweka T. In: Pierre A.
Out: Eweka T.
11'
Sub
Jander C. In: O'Brien Whitmarsh J.
Out: Jander C.
14' Event
Akoto N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Eastleigh and Southampton finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Eastleigh
6%
Draws
90%
Southampton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Southampton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastleigh haven't matched Southampton's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Southampton a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Southampton have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 12%
Southampton Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastleigh Southampton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 20
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Eastleigh vs Southampton
1:3
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Eastleigh vs Southampton
1:2
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Eastleigh vs Southampton
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Akoto N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Southampton Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobbin L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oyekunle N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastleigh 10 / 100
Southampton 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastleigh Southampton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Eastleigh scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Southampton has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eastleigh VS Southampton
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastleigh

(Home)
25 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 1
Crawley Town
22 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 3
Valenciennes
18 Jul
Eastleigh
1 : 3
Southampton
14 Jul
Poole Town
2 : 0
Eastleigh
10 Jul
Horsham FC
3 : 2
Eastleigh
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Southampton

(Away)
24 Jul
Braunschweig
0 : 1
Southampton
18 Jul
Eastleigh
1 : 3
Southampton
12 May
Southampton
2 : 1
Middlesbrough
09 May
Middlesbrough
0 : 0
Southampton
02 May
Preston
1 : 3
Southampton
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