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Eastleigh vs Southampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Eweka T. In: Pierre A.
Out: Eweka T.
11'
Sub
Jander C. In: O'Brien Whitmarsh J.
Out: Jander C.
14' Event
Akoto N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Eastleigh and Southampton finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Eastleigh
30%
Draws
47%
Southampton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southampton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastleigh haven't matched Southampton's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Southampton a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Southampton have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 10%
Southampton Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastleigh Southampton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.04 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Eastleigh vs Southampton
1:3
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Eastleigh vs Southampton
1:2
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Eastleigh vs Southampton
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Akoto N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Southampton Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobbin L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oyekunle N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastleigh 10 / 100
Southampton 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastleigh Southampton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Eastleigh scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Southampton has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Eastleigh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastleigh VS Southampton
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastleigh

(Home)
03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3
Woking
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Southend
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1
Eastleigh
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
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Southampton

(Away)
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1
Southampton
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1
Bristol City
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1
Southampton
01 Sept
Birmingham
1 : 1
Southampton
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