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Eastleigh vs Yeovil Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League 2025/2026 Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Ferguson K.
20'
Sub
Vokins J. In: Evans K.
Out: Vokins J.
31' Event
Blair A.
Assist: Saunders H.

AI Match Summary

Eastleigh in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastleigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Eastleigh
30%
Draws
51%
Yeovil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yeovil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Yeovil have won more games recently than Eastleigh.
  • Model gives Yeovil a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 14%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastleigh Yeovil
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Yeovil
2:1
Dec 30, 2025 National League
Yeovil vs Eastleigh
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Yeovil
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 National League
Yeovil vs Eastleigh
2:2
Mar 7, 2023 National League
Yeovil vs Eastleigh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Blair A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Yeovil Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellison D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastleigh 10 / 100
Yeovil 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastleigh Yeovil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeovil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastleigh found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Yeovil conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Eastleigh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastleigh VS Yeovil
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastleigh

(Home)
03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3
Woking
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Southend
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1
Eastleigh
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
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Yeovil

(Away)
03 Oct
Yeovil
6 : 0
Boston United
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1
Worthing FC
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1
Yeovil
18 Sept
Yeovil
4 : 1
Solihull Moors
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 York City 46 33 9 4 114:41 108
2 Rochdale 46 33 7 6 88:41 106
3 Carlisle 46 29 8 9 87:51 95
4 Boreham Wood 46 27 9 10 95:58 90
5 Scunthorpe 46 23 13 10 77:62 82
6 Southend 46 23 12 11 83:47 81
7 Forest Green 46 23 12 11 82:52 81
8 Halifax 46 20 10 16 69:66 70
9 Hartlepool 46 18 14 14 54:59 68
10 Woking 46 16 15 15 69:54 63
11 Tamworth 46 17 11 18 63:71 62
12 Boston United 46 15 14 17 63:67 59
13 Altrincham 46 17 6 23 55:65 57
14 Solihull Moors 46 14 14 18 71:72 56
15 Wealdstone 46 15 11 20 67:74 56
16 Yeovil 46 15 6 25 48:68 51
17 Eastleigh 46 13 11 22 57:80 50
18 Gateshead 46 14 8 24 54:90 50
19 Sutton 46 11 14 21 59:79 47
20 Aldershot 46 13 7 26 69:87 46
21 Brackley 46 10 12 24 40:75 42
22 Morecambe 46 9 11 26 66:103 38
23 Braintree 46 8 12 26 38:76 36
24 Truro 46 8 10 28 42:72 34
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)