Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebbsfleet vs Hampton & Richmond

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Appiah K.
18' Event
Seaman C.
39' Event
Appiah K.

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebbsfleet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ebbsfleet
20%
Draws
47%
Hampton & Richmond
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hampton & Richmond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Hampton & Richmond haven't matched Ebbsfleet's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ebbsfleet a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ebbsfleet have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Hampton & Richmond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Hampton & Richmond
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hampton & Richmond
4:0
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet
3:2
Feb 18, 2023 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hampton & Richmond
6:2
Nov 8, 2022 National League South
Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet
1:2
Jan 29, 2022 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hampton & Richmond
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebbsfleet Compare

Top Goalscorer Appiah K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Seaman C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Hampton & Richmond Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 40 / 100
Hampton & Richmond 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Hampton & Richmond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EBB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Hampton & Richmond conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ebbsfleet remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Hampton & Richmond
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
West Ham U21
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

Hampton & Richmond

(Away)
08 Aug
Salisbury
5 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
04 Aug
Raynes Park Vale
0 : 2
Hampton & Richmond
25 Jul
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
11 Jul
Carshalton
0 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
25 Apr
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 0
Enfield Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 46 25 9 12 99:52 84
2 Hornchurch 46 23 12 11 81:64 81
3 Torquay 46 24 8 14 87:62 80
4 Dorking Wanderers 46 23 10 13 78:61 79
5 Hemel Hempstead 46 23 10 13 55:48 79
6 Weston-super-Mare 46 23 9 14 61:48 78
7 Maidenhead 46 22 11 13 66:41 77
8 Maidstone 46 22 11 13 72:50 77
9 Ebbsfleet 46 22 11 13 73:54 77
10 Chelmsford 46 21 10 15 73:62 73
11 Chesham 46 21 9 16 68:55 72
12 AFC Totton 46 20 6 20 60:79 66
13 Dagenham & Red. 46 17 13 16 61:62 64
14 Tonbridge 46 16 12 18 66:65 60
15 Horsham FC 46 15 14 17 53:54 59
16 Slough Town 46 15 9 22 69:87 54
17 Salisbury 46 14 11 21 50:65 53
18 Hampton & Richmond 46 14 11 21 56:72 53
19 Farnborough 46 14 11 21 72:92 53
20 Dover Ath. 46 13 11 22 60:75 50
21 Bath City 46 10 13 23 50:77 43
22 Chippenham Town 46 11 9 26 53:80 42
23 Enfield Town 46 9 13 24 55:82 40
24 Eastbourne Borough 46 9 9 28 59:90 36
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)