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Ebbsfleet vs Horsham FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet host Horsham FC in the National League South. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Ebbsfleet at 1.67 goals for, 1.26 against; Horsham FC at 1.04 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Horsham FC slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.88, favoring Ebbsfleet. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ebbsfleet
30%
Draws
23%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Horsham FC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League South
Horsham FC vs Ebbsfleet
1:1
Nov 25, 2025 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Horsham FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 31 / 100
Horsham FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Horsham FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Horsham FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ebbsfleet has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Horsham FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
06 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 0
Folkestone
03 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Sholing
29 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 1
Ebbsfleet
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Ebbsfleet
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

Horsham FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Horsham FC
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)