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Ebolitana vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Ebolitana and Vibonese finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ebolitana
20%
Draws
47%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vibonese come out ahead of Ebolitana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vibonese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 20%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebolitana Vibonese
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 14
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Ebolitana vs Vibonese
1:3
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Ebolitana
3:1
Mar 4, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Ebolitana vs Vibonese
1:1
Oct 16, 2011 Lega Pro C2/B
Vibonese vs Ebolitana
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebolitana 10 / 100
Vibonese 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebolitana Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebolitana found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Vibonese let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Ebolitana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebolitana VS Vibonese
0.83 Goals Scored 1.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebolitana

(Home)
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
Page 1 of 6

Vibonese

(Away)
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)