Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebro vs Brea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
1 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Mihaylov M.
71' Event
Mihaylov M.
90' Event
Munoz D. B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Ebro and Brea finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ebro
30%
Draws
43%
Brea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Brea haven't matched Ebro's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Brea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ebro Clean Sheet 17%
Brea Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Brea
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.65 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Brea
1:2
Jan 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Ebro
0:2
May 1, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ebro vs Brea
0:0
Dec 12, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Brea vs Ebro
1:1
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Brea
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz D. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Brea Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihaylov M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 23 / 100
Brea 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Brea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Brea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ebro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS Brea
1.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 7

Brea

(Away)
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
04 May
Ebro
1 : 2
Brea
27 Apr
Brea
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)