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Ebro vs Calamocha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebro host Calamocha in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Calamocha have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Ebro have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Ebro slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.06) back Calamocha to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ebro
15%
Draws
20%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Calamocha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ebro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ebro Clean Sheet 20%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Calamocha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Calamocha
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Ebro
0:0
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Ebro
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Calamocha
2:1
Aug 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Ebro vs Calamocha
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 85 / 100
Calamocha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ebro scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ebro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Calamocha registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS Calamocha
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
04 Oct
Arnedo
1 : 2
Ebro
26 Sept
Ebro
1 : 0
Terrassa
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Ebro
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
Page 1 of 6

Calamocha

(Away)
04 Oct
Osasuna B
2 : 0
Calamocha
27 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 3
Tudelano
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
2 Osasuna B 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Olot 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
4 Ebro 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Espanyol B 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
6 CE Manresa 5 3 0 2 11:5 9
7 Girona B 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
8 Tudelano 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Terrassa 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
10 Pena 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
11 UD Barbastro 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Utebo FC 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Reus FC Reddis 5 2 0 3 3:7 6
14 UD Logrones B 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Calamocha 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
16 SD Logrones 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
17 Naxara 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
18 Arnedo 5 0 0 5 3:16 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)