Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebro vs CD Caspe

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Espierrez H.

AI Match Summary

Ebro in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ebro
30%
Draws
23%
CD Caspe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ebro lately — more wins on the board than CD Caspe.
  • Ebro are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ebro have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ebro Clean Sheet 68%
CD Caspe Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro CD Caspe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Ebro vs CD Caspe
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Ebro
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs CD Caspe
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Ebro
0:2
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs CD Caspe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Espierrez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CD Caspe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 50 / 100
CD Caspe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro CD Caspe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Caspe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Ebro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS CD Caspe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
26 Sept
Ebro
1 : 0
Terrassa
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Ebro
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
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CD Caspe

(Away)
27 Sept
Binefar
2 : 2
CD Caspe
20 Sept
CD Caspe
1 : 1
Zaragoza B
13 Sept
Huesca B
1 : 0
CD Caspe
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
24 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 1
CD Caspe
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