Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebro vs CD Caspe

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Espierrez H.

AI Match Summary

Ebro in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ebro
20%
Draws
29%
CD Caspe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Caspe lately — more wins on the board than Ebro.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ebro have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ebro Clean Sheet 19%
CD Caspe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro CD Caspe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Ebro vs CD Caspe
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Ebro
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs CD Caspe
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Ebro
0:2
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs CD Caspe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Espierrez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

CD Caspe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 32 / 100
CD Caspe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro CD Caspe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Caspe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Ebro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Caspe's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS CD Caspe
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2
Ebro
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
03 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Ebro
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CD Caspe

(Away)
24 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 1
CD Caspe
17 May
CD Caspe
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
CD Caspe
1 : 2
Tamarite
26 Apr
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
CD Caspe
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