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Ebro vs Fuentes

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tapia R.
13' Event
Tapia R.
26' Event
Tapia R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Ebro and Fuentes finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ebro
30%
Draws
29%
Fuentes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ebro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Ebro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ebro Clean Sheet 68%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Fuentes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.57 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Fuentes
4:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Ebro
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Ebro
1:4
Nov 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Fuentes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia R.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Fuentes Compare

Top Goalscorer Requeno A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 86 / 100
Fuentes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Fuentes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Fuentes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Ebro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Ebro
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
Page 1 of 6

Fuentes

(Away)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)