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Ebro vs Sestao

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Prat M.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Erdozia O.
89'
Camara Hermida A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ebro
15%
Draws
46%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ebro lately — more wins on the board than Sestao.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ebro Clean Sheet 68%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Sestao
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Sestao
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Ebro
1:0
Feb 7, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Sestao
0:0
Sep 19, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Ebro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdozia O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 42 / 100
Sestao 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sestao let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Ebro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS Sestao
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2
Ebro
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

Sestao

(Away)
11 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Sestao
01 Aug
Sestao
2 : 1
Portugalete
29 Jul
Sestao
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
22 Jul
Sestao
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
03 May
Sestao
1 : 0
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)