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Ebro vs UD Logrones

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Febas J.
44' Event
Lupu A.
83' Event
Lupu A.

AI Match Summary

UD Logrones in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ebro
15%
Draws
58%
UD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Logrones lately — more wins on the board than Ebro.
  • UD Logrones are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ebro Clean Sheet 13%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro UD Logrones
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.52 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs UD Logrones
0:3
Sep 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Ebro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Lupu A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Febas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 10 / 100
UD Logrones 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro UD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ebro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

UD Logrones has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS UD Logrones
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

UD Logrones

(Away)
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1
CD Extremadura
22 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Huesca B
21 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Mirandes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)