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EC Campo Grande vs Sao Gabriel MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
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AI Match Summary

Sao Gabriel MS in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Gabriel MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
EC Campo Grande
28%
Draws
22%
Sao Gabriel MS
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: EC Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Gabriel MS lately — more wins on the board than EC Campo Grande.
  • Model gives EC Campo Grande a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
EC Campo Grande Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Gabriel MS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Campo Grande Sao Gabriel MS
Matches Played 4 14
Wins 0 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 0.2 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
EC Campo Grande vs Sao Gabriel MS
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Campo Grande 49 / 100
Sao Gabriel MS 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Campo Grande Sao Gabriel MS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao Gabriel MS conceded in 86% of 14 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

EC Campo Grande scored in 25% of their last 4 games.

Solid form: EC Campo Grande remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Campo Grande VS Sao Gabriel MS
0.2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 2.13
80% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aquidauanense43014:29
2Uniao ABC42116:27
3Comercial MS42116:47
4Misto42115:47
5Esporte Clube Taveiropolis42024:36
67 de Setembro41125:64
7Sao Gabriel MS41123:54
8EC Campo Grande40131:81