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EC Cruzeiro vs Passo Fundo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dionas Bruno
40' Event
Passos F.
74'
Paulo Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2024 game between EC Cruzeiro and Passo Fundo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Passo Fundo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
EC Cruzeiro
15%
Draws
58%
Passo Fundo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Passo Fundo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Passo Fundo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Passo Fundo a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Passo Fundo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
EC Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 19%
Passo Fundo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Cruzeiro Passo Fundo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 18
Draws 9 11
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2024 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Passo Fundo
0:2
Apr 14, 2024 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs EC Cruzeiro
2:1
Jun 8, 2022 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs EC Cruzeiro
1:1
Apr 16, 2022 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Passo Fundo
0:2
Oct 17, 2021 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs EC Cruzeiro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Cruzeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Passo Fundo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dionas Bruno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Passos F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Cruzeiro 10 / 100
Passo Fundo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Cruzeiro Passo Fundo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Passo Fundo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

EC Cruzeiro scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Passo Fundo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

EC Cruzeiro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Passo Fundo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Cruzeiro

(Home)
10 Jul
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
07 Jul
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 2
EC Cruzeiro
03 Jul
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 3
EC Cruzeiro
29 Jun
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Veranopolis
23 Jun
GE Gloria
3 : 0
EC Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

Passo Fundo

(Away)
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Passo Fundo
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Gloria 14 9 2 3 17:7 29
2 Passo Fundo 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 Veranopolis 14 7 2 5 19:13 23
4 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 5 3 15:14 23
5 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 3 7 17:17 15
6 SC Gaucho 14 4 3 7 15:15 15
7 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 0 9 11:24 15
8 EC Cruzeiro 14 3 2 9 11:23 11
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monsoon 14 8 4 2 20:10 28
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 3 3 26:12 27
3 Lajeadense 14 6 6 2 13:7 24
4 Pelotas 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
5 Aimore 14 6 3 5 20:13 21
6 GE Bage 14 6 2 6 14:14 20
7 Futvida 14 2 2 10 8:24 8
8 Sao Gabriel 14 1 2 11 7:34 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)