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EC Cruzeiro vs SC Gaucho

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Laion
30' Event
Severo L.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Yan Philippe

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2024 game between EC Cruzeiro and SC Gaucho finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Gaucho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
EC Cruzeiro
15%
Draws
12%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Gaucho come out ahead of EC Cruzeiro on wins alone.
  • Model gives EC Cruzeiro a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
EC Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 20%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Cruzeiro SC Gaucho
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs EC Cruzeiro
0:0
Jun 9, 2024 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs SC Gaucho
1:4
May 22, 2022 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs EC Cruzeiro
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs SC Gaucho
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Cruzeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Laion
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yan Philippe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Cruzeiro 36 / 100
SC Gaucho 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Cruzeiro SC Gaucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Gaucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

SC Gaucho lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: EC Cruzeiro scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Gaucho
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Cruzeiro

(Home)
10 Jul
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
07 Jul
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 2
EC Cruzeiro
03 Jul
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 3
EC Cruzeiro
29 Jun
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Veranopolis
23 Jun
GE Gloria
3 : 0
EC Cruzeiro
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SC Gaucho

(Away)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Gloria 14 9 2 3 17:7 29
2 Passo Fundo 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 Veranopolis 14 7 2 5 19:13 23
4 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 5 3 15:14 23
5 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 3 7 17:17 15
6 SC Gaucho 14 4 3 7 15:15 15
7 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 0 9 11:24 15
8 EC Cruzeiro 14 3 2 9 11:23 11
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monsoon 14 8 4 2 20:10 28
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 3 3 26:12 27
3 Lajeadense 14 6 6 2 13:7 24
4 Pelotas 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
5 Aimore 14 6 3 5 20:13 21
6 GE Bage 14 6 2 6 14:14 20
7 Futvida 14 2 2 10 8:24 8
8 Sao Gabriel 14 1 2 11 7:34 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)