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EC de Patos U20 vs Nacional de Patos U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
EC de Patos U20
20%
Draws
73%
Nacional de Patos U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional de Patos U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC de Patos U20 come out ahead of Nacional de Patos U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nacional de Patos U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • EC de Patos U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional de Patos U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
EC de Patos U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nacional de Patos U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC de Patos U20 Nacional de Patos U20
Matches Played 20 6
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.9 3.17
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2025 Paraibano U20
Nacional de Patos U20 vs EC de Patos U20
0:1
Jul 10, 2025 Paraibano U20
EC de Patos U20 vs Nacional de Patos U20
2:2
Jun 26, 2025 Paraibano U20
EC de Patos U20 vs Nacional de Patos U20
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC de Patos U20 10 / 100
Nacional de Patos U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC de Patos U20 Nacional de Patos U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional de Patos U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

EC de Patos U20 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

Defensive concern: Nacional de Patos U20 conceded in 67% of 6 recent games.

EC de Patos U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC de Patos U20 VS Nacional de Patos U20
2.88 Goals Scored 3.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

EC de Patos U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
09 Jan
Barra FC U20
2 : 1
EC de Patos U20
06 Jan
EC de Patos U20
0 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
03 Jan
Francana U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
10 Aug
Confianca PB U20
1 : 1
EC de Patos U20
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Nacional de Patos U20

(Away)
14 Jul
Nacional de Patos U20
0 : 1
EC de Patos U20
10 Jul
EC de Patos U20
2 : 2
Nacional de Patos U20
06 Jul
Nacional de Patos U20
3 : 0
Serrano PB U20
26 Jun
EC de Patos U20
3 : 5
Nacional de Patos U20
20 Jun
Sousa U20
2 : 3
Nacional de Patos U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Botafogo PB U20 4
Queimadense U20 3
Confianca PB U20 4
Sousa U20 2
Nacional de Patos U20 2
EC de Patos U20 3
Campinense U20 6
Auto Esporte U20 2
Semi-finals
Botafogo PB U20 0
Confianca PB U20 2
EC de Patos U20 5
Campinense U20 2
Final
Confianca PB U20 1
EC de Patos U20 2
Botafogo PB U20 2
Campinense U20 1