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EC de Patos vs Nacional PB Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paraibano 2025 Estadio Jose Cavalcanti, Patos
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Match Events

8'
Mano Walter
9' Event
Caique
18' Event
Gustavo Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between EC de Patos and Nacional PB finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
EC de Patos
30%
Draws
28%
Nacional PB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Nacional PB haven't matched EC de Patos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans EC de Patos's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 19%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC de Patos Nacional PB
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Nacional PB
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Nacional PB
2:2
Mar 27, 2019 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Nacional PB
1:3
Feb 10, 2019 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs EC de Patos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC de Patos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedrinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eduardo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC de Patos 42 / 100
Nacional PB 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC de Patos Nacional PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PB let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

EC de Patos's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: EC de Patos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC de Patos VS Nacional PB
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC de Patos

(Home)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
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Nacional PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)