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EC de Patos vs Nacional PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Tadeu
38'
Joao Marcelo
40'
Guto

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraibano matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
EC de Patos
30%
Draws
28%
Nacional PB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC de Patos lately — more wins on the board than Nacional PB.
  • EC de Patos are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paraibano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 19%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC de Patos Nacional PB
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Nacional PB
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Nacional PB
2:2
Mar 27, 2019 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Nacional PB
1:3
Feb 10, 2019 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs EC de Patos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC de Patos 42 / 100
Nacional PB 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC de Patos Nacional PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nacional PB conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

EC de Patos's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

EC de Patos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

EC de Patos VS Nacional PB
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC de Patos

(Home)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
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Nacional PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)