Sport Picks

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EC de Patos vs Perilima

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Thu, Sep 14, 2023
3 - 0
10:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC de Patos host Perilima in the Paraibano 2 2023. EC de Patos go into this one as the clear favorite. EC de Patos have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Perilima's 0.8 scored and 2.17 conceded. Past meetings favor EC de Patos slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2023, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.50) point toward EC de Patos. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
EC de Patos
15%
Draws
0%
Perilima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • EC de Patos have won more games recently than Perilima.
  • Model gives EC de Patos a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 16%
Perilima Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC de Patos Perilima
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.39 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2023 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Perilima
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC de Patos 84 / 100
Perilima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC de Patos Perilima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC de Patos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perilima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Perilima registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

EC de Patos's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

EC de Patos VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EC de Patos

(Home)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 7

Perilima

(Away)
01 Oct
Sabugy
3 : 0
Perilima
28 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Spartax
24 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Picuiense
21 Sept
Sport PB
3 : 0
Perilima
17 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
2 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 21:8 19
3 Confianca PB 9 6 0 3 22:13 18
4 Pombal 9 5 1 3 12:5 16
5 Spartax 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
6 Picuiense 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
8 Sport PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
9 Sabugy 9 1 2 6 7:12 5
10 Perilima 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)