Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC de Patos vs Pombal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Manu In: Cleiton Souza de Andrade J.
Out: Manu
28'
Sub
Claudinho In: Gabigol
Out: Claudinho
55' Event
Ivyrson Cardoso da Silva N.

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between EC de Patos and Pombal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pombal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
EC de Patos
15%
Draws
37%
Pombal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • EC de Patos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans EC de Patos's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 68%
Pombal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC de Patos Pombal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Pombal
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Paraibano
Pombal vs EC de Patos
0:3
Oct 15, 2023 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Pombal
0:2
Oct 12, 2023 Paraibano 2
Pombal vs EC de Patos
2:3
Sep 6, 2023 Paraibano 2
Pombal vs EC de Patos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC de Patos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivyrson Cardoso da Silva N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC de Patos 68 / 100
Pombal 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC de Patos Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC de Patos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

EC de Patos found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

EC de Patos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC de Patos VS Pombal
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC de Patos

(Home)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 6

Pombal

(Away)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)