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EC de Patos vs Serra Branca

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Jose Cavalcanti
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Souza E.
39'
Allan
45' Event
Esquerdinha

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between EC de Patos and Serra Branca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra Branca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
EC de Patos
40%
Draws
29%
Serra Branca
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serra Branca come out ahead of EC de Patos on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC de Patos Serra Branca
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Serra Branca
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Serra Branca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC de Patos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Serra Branca Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esquerdinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC de Patos 32 / 100
Serra Branca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC de Patos Serra Branca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC de Patos found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Serra Branca conceded in 67% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: EC de Patos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC de Patos VS Serra Branca
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sousa962114:320
2Botafogo PB961219:819
3Treze PB953118:818
4Serra Branca952221:817
5Campinense942314:1014
6EC de Patos931514:1610
7Pombal92347:119
8Nacional PB923415:219
9Auto Esporte91449:167
10Picuiense90185:351
11CSP00000:00